Recession Risk Is Rising, Deutsche’s Chief U.S. Economist Warns
Standard measures of the U.S. labor market look pretty good. The unemployment rate is low, and job growth has been steady.
But one indicator is flashing signs of fragility. It's an important one, too: The Federal Reserve's Labor Market Conditions Index. After falling just three times from 2012 t...read more
China Can Resist a Crash But Can’t Prevent One
OCT 25, 2016 6:00 PM EDT
By Tyler Cowen
After many years of 7- to 10-percent growth, economies tend to overheat, creating bubbles that burst. That’s what happened to South Korea and Japan in the 1980s and 1990s. But China’s economy keeps plugging along (though probably not at its pu...read more
Where are we now. A quick look back at how we got here…slowly.
USA Markets: If you bought the SP500 index and Nasdaq index just about year ago on Oct 31, 2015, you're up less than + 2.00% and 3.00%, respectively and yet there have been three periods of markets falling more than -10% in that same period.
If you bought the 10 year, 20 year or 30 year US Go...read more
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